Premier League | Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2023 at 8pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Luton1 - 2West Ham
The Match
Match Report
Luton Town's first Premier League match at the newly-refurbished Kenilworth Road ends in defeat as West Ham United move top of the table with a 2-1 victory.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Premier League clash between Luton Town and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Luton 3-2 Gillingham
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Brighton 1-3 West Ham
Saturday, August 26 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Saturday, August 26 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 49.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 25.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a West Ham United win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | West Ham United |
49.59% ( 0) | 25.26% ( -0.02) | 25.15% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.18% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.37% ( 0.08) | 51.62% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.59% ( 0.07) | 73.41% ( -0.07) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.16% ( 0.03) | 20.83% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.49% ( 0.05) | 53.51% ( -0.06) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.65% ( 0.05) | 35.34% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.89% ( 0.06) | 72.1% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Luton Town 49.58%
West Ham United 25.15%
Draw 25.26%
| Luton Town | Draw | West Ham United |
| 1-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.74% 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 49.58% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.98% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 2.02% Total : 25.15% |
How you voted: Luton vs West Ham
Luton Town
10.5%Draw
8.6%West Ham United
80.9%257
Head to Head
Jul 23, 2022 3pm
