Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | West Ham United | 38 | 9 | 56 |
8 | Leicester City | 38 | 3 | 52 |
9 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 38 | -2 | 51 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Burnley | 38 | -19 | 35 |
19 | Watford | 38 | -43 | 23 |
20 | Norwich City | 38 | -61 | 22 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 66.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 13.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.81%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Leicester City | Draw | Norwich City |
66.05% ( -3.51) | 20.6% ( 1.6) | 13.35% ( 1.91) |
Both teams to score 45.28% ( 0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.96% ( -2.25) | 49.03% ( 2.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.88% ( -2.07) | 71.11% ( 2.06) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.99% ( -1.72) | 14.01% ( 1.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.46% ( -3.47) | 41.54% ( 3.47) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.66% ( 1.79) | 47.34% ( -1.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.25% ( 1.31) | 82.74% ( -1.31) |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City | Draw | Norwich City |
1-0 @ 13.03% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 12.81% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.88) 3-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.31) 4-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.73) 4-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.37) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.42) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.23) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.41% Total : 66.04% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.75) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.59) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.23) Other @ 0.64% Total : 20.6% | 0-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.67) 1-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.45) 0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.15) Other @ 1.99% Total : 13.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 22 |
4 | Arsenal | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 22 |
5 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 22 |
6 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 19 |
7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Aston Villa | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
9 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
10 | Fulham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
11 | Brentford | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 17 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Bournemouth | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Everton | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 11 |
16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 9 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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