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Premier League | Gameweek 37
May 15, 2022 at 2pm UK
Vicarage Road
Leicester logo

Watford
1 - 5
Leicester

Pedro (6')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Maddison (18'), Vardy (22', 70'), Barnes (46', 86')
Tielemans (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Watford and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Watford 0-1 Leicester City

Fans and neutrals alike should not expect sparks to fly at Vicarage Road, with already-relegated Watford dealing with a raft of absentees and Leicester likely to rotate their resources a tad too. The Hornets held out well against Everton, but Leicester have plenty of well-rested attacking stars ready to make an impact and will endeavour to scrape a vital win to keep a top-half spot in their own control. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 49.72%. A win for Watford had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.7%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawLeicester City
25.61% (-0.168 -0.17) 24.66% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 49.72% (0.182 0.18)
Both teams to score 53.46% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.16% (-0.052 -0.05)48.83% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.06% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)70.93% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.55% (-0.166 -0.17)33.45% (0.16200000000001 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.92% (-0.18 -0.18)70.08% (0.175 0.17)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.34% (0.052999999999997 0.05)19.66% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.35% (0.088000000000001 0.09)51.64% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Watford 25.61%
    Leicester City 49.72%
    Draw 24.66%
WatfordDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 7.2% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.42% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-0 @ 3.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.34% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.44% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 25.61%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.58% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.66%
0-1 @ 10.69% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.53% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.7% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 5.17% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.72% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.1% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.92% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 49.72%

How you voted: Watford vs Leicester

Watford
14.5%
Draw
16.4%
Leicester City
69.1%
110
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Nov 28, 2021 2pm
Leicester
4-2
Watford
Maddison (16'), Vardy (34', 42'), Lookman (68')
King (30' pen.), Dennis (61')
Mar 3, 2019 12pm
Watford
2-1
Leicester
Deeney (5'), Gray (92')
Mariappa (13'), Capoue (60'), Doucoure (61'), Deeney (62'), Gray (93')
Vardy (75')
Pereira (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Vikings
9-27
Rams
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool20145148202847
2Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
3Arsenal20117239182140
4Chelsea21107441261537
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Bournemouth219753225734
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham217953230230
10Brentford218494037328
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
12West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


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