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Premier League | Gameweek 22
Jan 31, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Burnley logo

Man City
3 - 1
Burnley

Alvarez (16', 22'), Rodri (46')
Ederson (75'), Doku (81')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Al Dakhil (90+3')
Ekdal (21'), Roberts (75')

The Match

Match Report

Julian Alvarez scores twice on his 24th birthday as Manchester City cruise to a 3-1 victory over Burnley in the Premier League.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Burnley.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Wednesday's Premier League clash with Burnley.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Burnley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Luton
Friday, January 12 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 88.59%. A draw had a probability of 7.8% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 3.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.6%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-2 (1.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawBurnley
88.59% (-0.81099999999999 -0.81) 7.84% (0.5539 0.55) 3.58% (0.261 0.26)
Both teams to score 46.53% (-0.622 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.32% (-1.753 -1.75)21.69% (1.758 1.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.54% (-2.464 -2.46)40.46% (2.468 2.47)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.97% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)3.03% (0.357 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.38% (-1.264 -1.26)13.62% (1.266 1.27)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.98% (-0.463 -0.46)52.02% (0.46700000000001 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.99% (-0.301 -0.3)86.02% (0.306 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 88.59%
    Burnley 3.58%
    Draw 7.84%
Manchester CityDrawBurnley
3-0 @ 11.23% (0.32 0.32)
4-0 @ 9.82% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.63% (0.595 0.6)
3-1 @ 7.34% (0.108 0.11)
5-0 @ 6.87% (-0.292 -0.29)
4-1 @ 6.42% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-1 @ 6.3% (0.307 0.31)
1-0 @ 5.51% (0.519 0.52)
5-1 @ 4.49% (-0.255 -0.26)
6-0 @ 4% (-0.319 -0.32)
6-1 @ 2.62% (-0.247 -0.25)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 2.1% (-0.072 -0.07)
7-0 @ 2% (-0.237 -0.24)
5-2 @ 1.47% (-0.104 -0.1)
7-1 @ 1.31% (-0.174 -0.17)
Other @ 5.11%
Total : 88.59%
1-1 @ 3.6% (0.294 0.29)
2-2 @ 2.06% (0.074 0.07)
0-0 @ 1.58% (0.198 0.2)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 7.84%
1-2 @ 1.18% (0.081 0.08)
0-1 @ 1.03% (0.117 0.12)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 3.58%

How you voted: Man City vs Burnley

Manchester City
86.5%
Draw
7.9%
Burnley
5.7%
229
Head to Head
Aug 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 1
Burnley
0-3
Man City

Zaroury (90+4')
Haaland (4', 36'), Rodri (75')
Guardiola (75')
Mar 18, 2023 5.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Man City
6-0
Burnley
Braut Haaland (32', 35', 59'), Alvarez (62', 73'), Palmer (68')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 31
Burnley
0-2
Man City

Weghorst (13')
De Bruyne (5'), Gundogan (25')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Man City
2-0
Burnley
Silva (12'), De Bruyne (70')
Laporte (45+3')
Feb 3, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 22
Burnley
0-2
Man City

Stephens (83'), Mumbongo (87')
Jesus (3'), Sterling (38')
Ederson (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
6Chelsea21107441261537
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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