Newcastle2 - 3Man City
The Match
Match Report
Team News
Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, January 6 at 12.45pm in FA Cup
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in FA Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Manchester City |
31.97% ( -0.14) | 24.26% ( 0.02) | 43.77% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 59.2% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.71% ( -0.16) | 43.28% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.32% ( -0.15) | 65.68% ( 0.15) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.94% ( -0.16) | 26.06% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.9% ( -0.22) | 61.1% ( 0.22) |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.05% ( -0.01) | 19.94% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.9% ( -0.02) | 52.09% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Manchester City |
2-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 31.97% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.88% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.97% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 43.77% |