

Man City4 - 1Liverpool







The Match
Analysis
Match Report
Team News
Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, March 18 at 5.45pm in FA Cup
Wednesday, March 15 at 8pm in Champions League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 67.07%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 16.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.2%), while for a Liverpool win it was 1-2 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Manchester City | Draw | Liverpool |
67.07% | 16.5% | 16.43% |
Both teams to score 68.94% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
77.32% | 22.67% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
58.18% | 41.82% |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.56% | 6.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.92% | 24.08% |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.68% | 26.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.55% | 61.45% |
Score Analysis |
Manchester City | Draw | Liverpool |
2-1 @ 8.51% 3-1 @ 7.78% 2-0 @ 6.37% 3-0 @ 5.83% 4-1 @ 5.34% 3-2 @ 5.19% 1-0 @ 4.64% 4-0 @ 4% 4-2 @ 3.56% 5-1 @ 2.93% 5-0 @ 2.19% 5-2 @ 1.96% 4-3 @ 1.59% 6-1 @ 1.34% 6-0 @ 1% Other @ 4.84% Total : 67.07% | 1-1 @ 6.2% 2-2 @ 5.68% 3-3 @ 2.31% 0-0 @ 1.69% Other @ 0.62% Total : 16.5% | 1-2 @ 4.14% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-1 @ 2.26% 1-3 @ 1.84% 0-2 @ 1.51% Other @ 4.16% Total : 16.43% |
How you voted: Man City vs Liverpool









