Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arsenal win with a probability of 52.87%. A win for Manchester United has a probability of 26.18% and a draw has a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (6.47%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Manchester United win is 2-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.72%).
Result | ||
Manchester United | Draw | Arsenal |
26.18% ( -0.08) | 20.95% ( -0.05) | 52.87% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 67.15% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.91% ( 0.18) | 31.09% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.5% ( 0.22) | 52.49% ( -0.21) |
Manchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.41% ( 0.04) | 23.59% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.34% ( 0.06) | 57.66% ( -0.05) |
Arsenal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.87% ( 0.11) | 12.12% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.29% ( 0.22) | 37.71% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Manchester United | Draw | Arsenal |
2-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 26.18% | 1-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.64% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.48% Total : 20.95% | 1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.47% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 4.67% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.41% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) 3-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 52.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 54 | 13 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | Chelsea | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 51 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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