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Premier League | Gameweek 33
Apr 14, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Emirates Stadium
Aston Villa logo

Arsenal
0 - 2
Aston Villa


White (36'), Magalhaes (45'), Havertz (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bailey (84'), Watkins (87')
Rogers (14')

The Match

Match Report

Arsenal suffer a setback in their Premier League title bid after they concede two late goals to lose 2-0 to Aston Villa at the Emirates.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Aston Villa.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Arsenal could line up for Sunday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa at the Emirates.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 2-2 Bayern
Tuesday, April 9 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Lille
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 67.29%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 14.37%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
ArsenalDrawAston Villa
67.29% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21) 18.34% (0.149 0.15) 14.37% (0.065 0.06)
Both teams to score 55.74% (-0.385 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.38% (-0.577 -0.58)36.62% (0.582 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.22% (-0.632 -0.63)58.78% (0.637 0.64)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.97% (-0.205 -0.2)10.02% (0.21 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.92% (-0.48099999999999 -0.48)33.08% (0.486 0.49)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.94% (-0.28299999999999 -0.28)38.05% (0.288 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.18% (-0.277 -0.28)74.82% (0.28299999999999 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 67.29%
    Aston Villa 14.37%
    Draw 18.34%
ArsenalDrawAston Villa
2-0 @ 10.09% (0.104 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.026 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.77% (0.17 0.17)
3-0 @ 7.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.48% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.45% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-1 @ 4.3% (-0.066999999999999 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.08% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-0 @ 2.05% (-0.035 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.98% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-2 @ 0.96% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 67.29%
1-1 @ 8.48% (0.099 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.82% (0.108 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.34%
1-2 @ 4.1% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.69% (0.077 0.08)
0-2 @ 1.78% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 14.37%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Aston Villa

Arsenal
72.8%
Draw
17.5%
Aston Villa
9.7%
206
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Aston Villa
1-0
Arsenal
McGinn (7')
Digne (53'), Luiz (62'), McGinn (73'), Carlos (88')

Zinchenko (28'), Rice (77')
Feb 18, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 24
Aston Villa
2-4
Arsenal
Watkins (5'), Coutinho (31')
Saka (16'), Zinchenko (61'), Martinez (90+3' og.), Martinelli (90+8')
Aug 31, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Arsenal
2-1
Aston Villa
Jesus (30'), Martinelli (77')
Luiz (74')
Mar 19, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 30
Aston Villa
0-1
Arsenal

Ramsey (15'), Mings (33'), McGinn (34')
Saka (30')
Xhaka (45+1'), Soares (57'), Partey (65')
Oct 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 9
Arsenal
3-1
Aston Villa
Partey (23'), Aubameyang (45+6'), Smith Rowe (56')
Sambi Lokonga (45+1'), Aubameyang (66')
Ramsey (82')
Watkins (2'), Mings (27'), McGinn (32'), Targett (60'), Luiz (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Bournemouth167452421325
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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