Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 55.92%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 23.15% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.42%) and 1-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.