Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 63.47%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 15.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.
Result | ||
West Ham United | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
63.47% ( 0.7) | 20.8% ( -0.35) | 15.72% ( -0.35) |
Both teams to score 50.53% ( 0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.86% ( 0.87) | 45.14% ( -0.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.51% ( 0.83) | 67.49% ( -0.83) |
West Ham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.44% ( 0.49) | 13.56% ( -0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.35% ( 0.97) | 40.65% ( -0.97) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.45% ( 0.07) | 41.55% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.96% ( 0.06) | 78.04% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
West Ham United | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
1-0 @ 11.25% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 11.24% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.86% Total : 63.46% | 1-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.95% Total : 20.8% | 0-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 15.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arsenal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Fulham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
11 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 16 |
12 | Bournemouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 6 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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