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Premier League | Gameweek 35
May 8, 2023 at 8pm UK
City Ground
Southampton logo

Nott'm Forest
4 - 3
Southampton

Awoniyi (18', 21'), Gibbs-White (44' pen.), Danilo (73')
Lodi (78')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Alcaraz (25'), Lyanco (51'), Ward-Prowse (90+6' pen.)

The Match

Match Report

Nottingham Forest move up to 16th place with a 4-3 victory against Southampton after a nervy finish at the City Ground.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 2-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 3-1 Southampton
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawSouthampton
42.86% (-0.34 -0.34) 27.06% (0.143 0.14) 30.08% (0.193 0.19)
Both teams to score 49.25% (-0.332 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.2% (-0.467 -0.47)55.8% (0.464 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.07% (-0.383 -0.38)76.92% (0.38 0.38)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.22% (-0.387 -0.39)25.77% (0.383 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.28% (-0.525 -0.52)60.72% (0.523 0.52)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.35% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)33.64% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.7% (-0.111 -0.11)70.29% (0.108 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 42.85%
    Southampton 30.08%
    Draw 27.05%
Nottingham ForestDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 11.75% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.97% (-0.032000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.92% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.6% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 42.85%
1-1 @ 12.8% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.67% (0.154 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 9.45% (0.143 0.14)
1-2 @ 6.98% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.15% (0.063999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.87% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 30.08%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Southampton

Nottingham Forest
70.5%
Draw
15.5%
Southampton
14.0%
129
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2023 7.30pm
Jan 14, 2012 3pm
Sep 10, 2011 3pm
Southampton
3-2
Nott'm Forest
Lambert (8', 24', 82')
Connolly (33'), Cork (51')
Majewski (42'), Derbyshire (7')
Moussi (26'), Gunter (33'), Derbyshire (81')
May 3, 2009 3pm
Dec 20, 2008 3pm
Southampton
0-2
Nott'm Forest

Lallana (19'), Cork (43'), Skacel (61'), Perry (90')
Morgan (42'), Garner (75')
Cohen (26'), Moloney (35')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool19144147192846
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest20124429191040
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


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