Premier League Gameweek 31
Apr 16, 2023 4.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Antony 32'
  • goal Diogo Dalot 76'

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last game
Apr 8, 2023 3.00pm
Aston Villa 2 - 0 Nott'm Forest
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Taiwo Awoniyi

Manchester United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 8, 2023 12.30pm
Man Utd 2 - 0 Everton
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Marcus Rashford

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 2-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result

Nottingham Forest 22.5% (-0.03)
Draw 22.85% (+0.15)
Manchester United 54.64% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.84% (-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.98% (-0.66)
Under 2.5 44.02% (+0.66)
Over 3.5 33.59% (-0.65)
Under 3.5 66.4% (+0.65)
Over 4.5 17.23% (-0.48)
Under 4.5 82.77% (+0.47)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5 66.49% (-0.39)
Under 0.5 33.51% (+0.39)
Over 1.5 29.85% (-0.43)
Under 1.5 70.15% (+0.43)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 83.98% (-0.28)
Under 0.5 16.02% (+0.28)
Over 1.5 54.65% (-0.51)
Under 1.5 45.35% (+0.51)

Score analysis

Nottingham Forest 22.5%
Draw 22.85%
Manchester United 54.64%
Nottingham Forest
2-1 @ 5.88% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 5.87% (+0.11)
2-0 @ 3.21% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.14% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 22.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.74% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 5.37% (+0.16)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.85%
Manchester United
1-2 @ 9.84% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 9.83% (+0.19)
0-2 @ 9% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 6.01% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 5.5% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.29% (-0.07)
1-4 @ 2.75% (-0.06)
0-4 @ 2.52% (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.5% (-0.05)
1-5 @ 1.01% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 54.64%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Feb 1, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Old Trafford
  • Anthony Martial 73' goal
  • Fred 76' goal
EFL Cup
Jan 25, 2023 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT The City Ground
  • goal Marcus Rashford 6'
  • goal Wout Weghorst 45'
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 89'
Premier League Gameweek 17
Dec 27, 2022 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Marcus Rashford 19' goal
  • Anthony Martial 23' goal
  • Fred 87' goal
Premier League
Feb 6, 1999 3.00pm
1
8
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Alan Rogers 6' goal
  • Hugo Porfirio 79' yellowcard
  • goal Dwight Yorke 2'
  • goal Andy Cole 7'
  • yellowcard Roy Keane 37'
  • goal Andy Cole 49'
  • goal Dwight Yorke 66'
  • yellowcard Phil Neville 81'
Premier League
Dec 26, 1998 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ronny Johnsen 28' goal
  • Ronny Johnsen 59' goal
  • Ryan Giggs 62' goal
Premier League
Dec 26, 1996 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal David Beckham 25'
  • goal Nicky Butt 44'
  • goal Ole Gunnar Solskjaer 67'