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Premier League | Gameweek 31
Apr 2, 2022 at 3pm UK
Molineux
Aston Villa logo

Wolves
2 - 1
Aston Villa

Castro (7'), Young (36' og.)
Coady (25'), Castro (66'), Marcal (90+2'), Neto (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Watkins (86' pen.)
McGinn (38'), Young (90+3'), Konsa (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Wolverhampton Wanderers 0-1 Aston Villa

Jimenez and Neves's absences coupled with Neto's fitness woes and an underwhelming spell of form does not spell optimism for Wolves here, but Villa did not enter the international break in glittering form either. However, Gerrard has plenty of choice when it comes to freshening up his attack and is working with a much fitter squad than Lage, so we can picture Villa returning to winning ways in this derby as Wolves' continental aspirations take yet another hit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawAston Villa
37.24%26.78%35.98%
Both teams to score 51.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.54%53.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.01%74.98%
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.23%27.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.65%63.35%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.48%28.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.71%64.29%
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 37.23%
    Aston Villa 35.98%
    Draw 26.77%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 10.14%
2-1 @ 8.16%
2-0 @ 6.5%
3-1 @ 3.48%
3-0 @ 2.78%
3-2 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 37.23%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 7.92%
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 9.93%
1-2 @ 7.99%
0-2 @ 6.23%
1-3 @ 3.34%
0-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 2.14%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 35.98%

How you voted: Wolves vs Aston Villa

Wolverhampton Wanderers
30.3%
Draw
22.3%
Aston Villa
47.3%
188
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Aston Villa
2-3
Wolves
Ings (48'), McGinn (68')
Mings (61'), Watkins (81')
Saiss (80'), Coady (85'), Neves (90+5')
Neves (52'), Dendoncker (88')
Dec 12, 2020 12.30pm
Wolves
0-1
Aston Villa

Traore (43'), Dendoncker (77'), Moutinho (83')
Moutinho (90+5')
El Ghazi (90+4' pen.)
Luiz (14'), Cash (29'), McGinn (30'), Targett (81'), Konsa (82'), Grealish (88')
Luiz (85')
Jun 27, 2020 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool19144147192846
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest20124429191040
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


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