Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2021 at 7pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca2 - 1Famalicao
Basso (66' pen.), Miguel Pereira Da Silva (89')
Manuel da Silva Moreira (57'), Miguel Pereira Da Silva (77'), Correa dos Santos (90+2'), Filipe Alves Araujo (90+5')
Manuel da Silva Moreira (57'), Miguel Pereira Da Silva (77'), Correa dos Santos (90+2'), Filipe Alves Araujo (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rodrigues (23')
Jose Gomes Oliveira Tavares (31'), Batubinsika (47'), Miguel Lapa Ricardo (79'), Assuncao (90+3')
Jose Gomes Oliveira Tavares (31'), Batubinsika (47'), Miguel Lapa Ricardo (79'), Assuncao (90+3')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Famalicao |
| 34.03% | 28.42% | 37.55% |
| Both teams to score 46.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.14% | 59.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.87% | 80.12% |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.03% | 32.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.45% | 69.54% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.3% | 30.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.04% | 66.96% |
| Score Analysis |
Arouca 34.03%
Famalicao 37.55%
Draw 28.41%
| Arouca | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 7.36% 2-0 @ 6.23% 3-1 @ 2.72% 3-0 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.58% Total : 34.03% | 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.12% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.41% | 0-1 @ 11.95% 1-2 @ 7.83% 0-2 @ 7.06% 1-3 @ 3.08% 0-3 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 1.71% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.23% Total : 37.55% |
How you voted: Arouca vs Famalicao
Arouca
36.0%Draw
24.0%Famalicao
40.0%25
Form Guide
