Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Feirense had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Feirense win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Famalicao in this match.