MX23RW : Tuesday, March 18 08:08:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Farense logo

Arouca
2 - 2
Farense

Trezza (56'), Nandin (67')
Simao (53'), Fukui (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Poloni (44'), Tomane (89')
Jorge (30'), Poloni (42'), Victor (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-2 Arouca
Saturday, February 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 0-1 Porto
Sunday, February 16 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 2-1 SC Farense

With what is at stake, this should not be viewed as a certain win for Arouca. Nevertheless, we are backing the home side to come through with the three points, albeit in a close game that may see a late goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 54.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 20.03%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
AroucaDrawSC Farense
54.26% (-0.178 -0.18) 25.71% (0.101 0.1) 20.03% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 44.03% (-0.163 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.02% (-0.273 -0.27)57.98% (0.269 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.32% (-0.214 -0.21)78.67% (0.211 0.21)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.54% (-0.18599999999999 -0.19)21.45% (0.182 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.52% (-0.285 -0.29)54.47% (0.283 0.28)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.05% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)43.94% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.92% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)80.08% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 54.25%
    SC Farense 20.03%
    Draw 25.71%
AroucaDrawSC Farense
1-0 @ 14.51% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 11.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.026000000000002 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.73% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.21% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 54.25%
1-1 @ 11.93% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.43% (0.096 0.1)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 7.75% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 4.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.19% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 20.03%

Head to Head
Nov 23, 2024 3pm
Fourth Round
Arouca
1-2
Farense
Trezza (16')
Simao (28'), Araujo (90+3'), Puche (90+6')
Poveda (7'), Balde (32')
Victor (55'), Africo (64'), Seruca (90+1')
Sep 22, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 6
Farense
0-1
Arouca

Falcao (44')
Trezza (45+1')
Fukui (69'), Rodrigues (77'), Jason (90+3'), Esgaio (90+5')
Mar 30, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 27
Arouca
2-1
Farense
Esgaio (45+1'), Cristo (68')
De Arruabarrena (55'), Trezza (78'), Moreira (90+1'), Galovic (90+4')
Duarte (88')
Caseres (49'), Mota (50'), Duarte (82')
Caseres (90+5')
Nov 6, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 10
Farense
2-0
Arouca
Oliveira (31' pen.), Duarte (38' pen.)
Falcao (25')

Simao (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon26195270234762
2Benfica25192459203959
3Porto26165551203153
4Braga26165542222053
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2613492725243
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes26101153627941
7Casa Pia26106103235-336
8Estoril PraiaEstoril269983441-736
9FamalicaoFamalicao2681082929034
10MoreirenseMoreirense2687113137-631
11Nacional2685132636-1029
12Rio AveRio Ave2678112943-1429
13AroucaArouca2678112539-1429
14Gil Vicente2558122437-1323
15Estrela Amadora2658132138-1723
16AVS26411112037-1723
17SC FarenseFarense2638151737-2017
18BoavistaBoavista2636171643-2715


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