Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 49.02%. A win for Arouca has a probability of 26.42% and a draw has a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Arouca win is 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.63%).
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Arouca |
49.02% ( 0.06) | 24.56% ( -0.12) | 26.42% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 54.55% ( 0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.24% ( 0.56) | 47.76% ( -0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.05% ( 0.52) | 69.95% ( -0.52) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.47% ( 0.25) | 19.53% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.57% ( 0.4) | 51.42% ( -0.41) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.78% ( 0.34) | 32.21% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.29% ( 0.39) | 68.7% ( -0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Arouca |
1-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.57% 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) Other @ 3% Total : 49.01% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.55% | 0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 26.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |