Taca de Portugal | Round of 16
Jan 14, 2025 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Farense1 - 3Benfica
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Santa Clara 0-0 Farense
Sunday, January 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, January 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
11
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-1 Benfica (6-7 pen.)
Saturday, January 11 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga
Saturday, January 11 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga
Goals
for
for
38
We said: SC Farense 0-3 Benfica
With the thrill from their Taca da Liga triumph still in the air, Benfica will head into this one with sky-high confidence as they look to continue their push for the cup double. Lage's men are on a dominant run against the hosts, and given the gulf in quality and experience between the two teams, we are backing them to come away with the desired result. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 77.33%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 7.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.1%) and 0-1 (10.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.09%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Benfica |
7.76% ( -0) | 14.91% ( -0) | 77.33% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 43.67% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.25% ( -0.01) | 39.75% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.89% ( -0.01) | 62.1% ( 0.01) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.71% ( -0.02) | 52.28% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 13.81% ( -0.01) | 86.19% ( 0.01) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.53% | 8.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 70.62% ( -0) | 29.38% |
| Score Analysis |
SC Farense 7.76%
Benfica 77.32%
Draw 14.91%
| SC Farense | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 2.87% 2-1 @ 2.3% ( -0)2-0 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 1.66% Total : 7.76% | 1-1 @ 7.09% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.43% ( 0)2-2 @ 2.84% ( -0)Other @ 0.56% Total : 14.91% | 0-2 @ 13.49% 0-3 @ 11.1% 0-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 8.75% ( -0)1-3 @ 7.2% ( -0)0-4 @ 6.85% ( 0)1-4 @ 4.44% ( -0)0-5 @ 3.38% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0)1-5 @ 2.19% 2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0)0-6 @ 1.39% 1-6 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.9% Total : 77.32% |
How you voted: Farense vs Benfica
SC Farense
30.0%Draw
5.0%Benfica
65.0%20
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2024 6pm
Jul 12, 2024 8pm
Feb 21, 2021 8.15pm
Form Guide
