Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arouca win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Moreirense has a probability of 33.99% and a draw has a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Moreirense win is 0-1 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.13%).
Result | ||
Arouca | Draw | Moreirense |
38.1% ( -0.92) | 27.92% ( 0.27) | 33.99% ( 0.65) |
Both teams to score 47.89% ( -0.69) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.93% ( -0.91) | 58.07% ( 0.91) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.26% ( -0.72) | 78.74% ( 0.72) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.51% ( -0.98) | 29.49% ( 0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.5% ( -1.22) | 65.5% ( 1.22) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.92% ( -0.03) | 32.08% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.45% ( -0.03) | 68.55% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Arouca | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 11.55% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.49% Total : 38.1% | 1-1 @ 13.13% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.92% | 0-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |