Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arouca win with a probability of 50.77%. A win for Nacional has a probability of 25.12% and a draw has a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Nacional win is 1-0 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.41%).