Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 65.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 14.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.09%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Chaves |
65.46% ( 0.25) | 20.43% ( -0.13) | 14.11% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 47.78% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.25% ( 0.28) | 46.75% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.99% ( 0.27) | 69.01% ( -0.27) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.53% ( 0.16) | 13.47% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.53% ( 0.32) | 40.47% ( -0.33) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.21% ( -0.01) | 44.79% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.24% ( -0) | 80.76% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Chaves |
2-0 @ 12.12% 1-0 @ 12.09% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 65.45% | 1-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.78% Total : 20.43% | 0-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.05% 1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.33% Total : 14.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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