MX23RW : Friday, January 10 15:27:38| >> :600:2034329:2034329:
Braga
Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 15, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Union Berlin logo

Braga
1 - 0
Union Berlin

Oliveira (77')
Banza (45+3'), Horta (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Schafer (27'), Behrens (90'), Ryerson (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Braga and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rio Ave 2-3 Braga
Sunday, September 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 3-1 Union Berlin

Braga will head into the game with sky-high confidence, having won each of their last six games in all competitions. They are unbeaten at the Estadio Braga Municipal since April and we predict that they will make use of their home advantage and see off the Bundesliga side to keep their fine run going. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 49.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 24.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Braga in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Braga.

Result
BragaDrawUnion Berlin
49.39% (0.083999999999996 0.08) 25.88%24.72% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)
Both teams to score 48.94% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.63% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)54.37% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.25% (-0.058 -0.06)75.75% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.95% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)22.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.62% (0.012999999999998 0.01)55.38% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.78% (-0.112 -0.11)37.22% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.99% (-0.113 -0.11)74.01% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Braga 49.38%
    Union Berlin 24.72%
    Draw 25.88%
BragaDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 12.4% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.38% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 4.73% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.79% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 49.38%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 8.21% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.06% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 24.72%

How you voted: Braga vs Union Berlin

Braga
Draw
Union Berlin
Braga
79.3%
Draw
8.8%
Union Berlin
11.9%
193
rhs 2.0
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