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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
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Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 10, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Chaves

Porto
3 - 0
Chaves

Taremi (3'), Evanilson (70'), Franco (82')
Uribe (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Guimaraes (28'), Morim (67'), Monte (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

Last Six:
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Porto
Wednesday, September 7 at 8pm in Champions League

Chaves

Last Six:
Last Game: Chaves 1-1 Rio Ave
Monday, September 5 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Porto 3-0 Chaves

 While Chaves will look to maintain their solid run of results, they take on a Porto side who will be looking to make an immediate positive response to their Champions League defeat. The Dragoes have turned their home ground into a fortress, winning each of their last 12 games in front of their fans, and we are backing them to continue in the same vein and extend their dominance over the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 80.1%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 6.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.05%) and 1-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.14%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
PortoDrawChaves
80.1% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 12.98% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 6.9% (0.0019 0)
Both teams to score 46.81% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.65% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)33.35% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.87% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)55.12% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.53% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)6.47% (0.017 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.82% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)24.18% (0.047999999999998 0.05)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.05% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)49.95% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.37% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)84.62% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Porto 80.1%
    Chaves 6.91%
    Draw 12.98%
PortoDrawChaves
2-0 @ 12.11% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 11.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.68% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 7.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 5.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
5-0 @ 4.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.88% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
6-0 @ 1.89% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
6-1 @ 1.31% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1% (-0.0039999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 80.1%
1-1 @ 6.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.23% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 12.98%
0-1 @ 2.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 2.13%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 6.91%

How you voted: Porto vs Chaves

Porto
82.8%
Draw
6.9%
Chaves
10.3%
29
Head to Head
Jan 18, 2019 7pm
Chaves
1-4
Porto
Gallo (76' pen.)
Singh (59')
Tiquinho (24', 42', 68'), Coelho (87' og.)
Tiquinho (35'), Corona (61')
Aug 11, 2018 9pm
Porto
5-0
Chaves
Aboubakar (14', 20'), Brahimi (45'), Corona (71'), Mouandilmadji (88')

Eustaquio (50'), Martins (58')
Teixeira (80')
Feb 11, 2018 4pm
Chaves
0-4
Porto

Pereira (21'), Bressan (45')
Tiquinho (14', 28'), Marega (57'), Oliveira (91')
Otavinho (49'), Pereira (56'), Corona (65'), Majeed Waris (65')
Sep 9, 2017 8.30pm
Porto
3-0
Chaves
Aboubakar (49'), Soares (86'), Marega (89')
Torres (53')

Djavan (64'), Paulinho (75'), Ricardo (90')
Apr 29, 2017 8.30pm
Chaves
0-2
Porto

Bressan (41'), Queiros (45'), Nelson (54'), Davidson (65'), Ponck (75')
Soares (52'), Andre (72')
Pereira (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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