Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 11, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
We said: Rio Ave 0-2 Braga
While Rio Ave will set out to pick up back-to-back home wins, they face a Braga side who are currently firing on all cylinders. Jorge's side head into the weekend on a run of five consecutive wins in all competitions and we are backing them to come away with all three points once again.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 54.59% . A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 21.34% .
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.08%) and 1-2 (9.69%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%) , while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (6.76%) . The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result Rio Ave Draw Braga 21.34% ( 0.01) 24.07% ( -0.06) 54.59% ( 0.05)
Both teams to score 50.41% ( 0.19)
49.53% ( 0.25) 50.46% ( -0.25)
27.61% ( 0.22) 72.39% ( -0.22)
61.76% ( 0.15) 38.23% ( -0.15)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 25.01% ( 0.15) 74.99% ( -0.14)
81.62% ( 0.11) 18.38% ( -0.11)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 50.48% ( 0.19) 49.52% ( -0.19)
Rio Ave 21.34%
Braga 54.58%
Draw 24.06%
Rio Ave Draw Braga 1-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 1.54% Total : 21.34% 1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.06% 0-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 10.08% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.69% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.47% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.27% Total : 54.58%
How you voted: Rio Ave vs Braga
7
rhs 2.0
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