Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 30, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio Pina Manique
Casa Pia1 - 0Rio Ave
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Casa Pia
Saturday, October 22 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, October 22 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
10
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-0 Portimonense
Monday, October 24 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, October 24 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
14
We said: Casa Pia 1-0 Rio Ave
Rio Ave completed the league double over Casa Pia when the sides met in the Segunda Liga last term and will be looking to pick up where they dropped off. However, the hosts have been decent on home turf this season and we are backing them to hold out for a narrow victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 35.63%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.5%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (11.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Casa Pia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Rio Ave |
35.63% ( 0.48) | 28.77% ( -0.12) | 35.6% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 45.51% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.95% ( 0.41) | 61.05% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.97% ( 0.31) | 81.03% ( -0.3) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.47% ( 0.53) | 32.52% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.94% ( 0.59) | 69.05% ( -0.59) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.45% ( -0.02) | 32.54% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.92% ( -0.03) | 69.08% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Casa Pia 35.62%
Rio Ave 35.59%
Draw 28.76%
| Casa Pia | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 11.88% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.69% Total : 35.62% | 1-1 @ 13.34% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.76% | 0-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.68% Total : 35.59% |
How you voted: Casa Pia vs Rio Ave
Casa Pia
72.7%Draw
18.2%Rio Ave
9.1%11
Form Guide
