Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 29, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
Estrela Amadora1 - 0Famalicao
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vila Mea 0-1 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, October 21 at 3.30pm in Taca de Portugal
Saturday, October 21 at 3.30pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Famalicao 1-3 Guimaraes
Sunday, October 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, October 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Estrela Amadora 2-1 Famalicao
After stumbling into the new campaign, Estrela appear to have hit their stride in recent weeks and will look to maintain their new-found form. Famalicao's struggles away from home give Vieira's men a slight edge and we are backing them to come away with a narrow victory in front of their home supporters. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Estrela Amadora would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estrela Amadora | Draw | Famalicao |
30.81% ( 0.21) | 26.58% ( 0.03) | 42.61% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 51.02% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
