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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
Braga

Estrela Amadora
2 - 4
Braga

Kikas (75'), Felipe (79')
Cordeiro (17')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Djalo (13', 49'), Banza (68'), Horta (90+4')
Fonte (44'), Magalhaes (75'), Saatci (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last Game: Chaves 2-2 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, September 24 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 4-1 Boavista
Sunday, September 24 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estrela Amadora 1-2 Braga

 Having already suffered two surprise defeats during the opening weeks of the season, Braga are under pressure to deliver in this match. While we feel that the home side will push them all the way, the superior attacking quality of the visitors may eventually shine through during the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 60.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 17.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.39%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-0 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Estrela AmadoraDrawBraga
17.95% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 21.55% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 60.5% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.8% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.5% (0.028999999999996 0.03)44.49% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.14% (0.027000000000001 0.03)66.86% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.57% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)38.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.82% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)75.18% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.74% (0.013999999999996 0.01)14.26% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.97% (0.028999999999996 0.03)42.03% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Estrela Amadora 17.95%
    Braga 60.5%
    Draw 21.54%
Estrela AmadoraDrawBraga
1-0 @ 5.24% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 4.88% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 2.51% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-1 @ 1.56%
3-2 @ 1.52% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 17.95%
1-1 @ 10.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.48% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.54%
0-1 @ 10.67%
0-2 @ 10.39%
1-2 @ 9.94% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-3 @ 6.75% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 6.46% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-4 @ 3.29% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 3.14% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 3.09% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-4 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
0-5 @ 1.28% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 60.5%

How you voted: Estrela Amadora vs Braga

Estrela Amadora
5.0%
Draw
20.0%
Braga
75.0%
60
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon16131244103440
2Porto1613124093140
3Benfica1612223792838
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara1610061816230
5Braga1684428181028
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes166642218424
7Casa Pia166551819-123
8MoreirenseMoreirense166372124-321
9FamalicaoFamalicao164751919019
10Rio AveRio Ave165471727-1019
11Gil Vicente164661825-718
12Estrela Amadora164481425-1116
13Estoril PraiaEstoril163671426-1215
14AVS162861223-1114
15SC FarenseFarense163491123-1213
16Nacional163491123-1213
17BoavistaBoavista162681023-1312
18AroucaArouca1633101027-1712
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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