Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
15 | Arouca | 33 | -22 | 31 |
16 | Moreirense | 33 | -17 | 29 |
17 | Tondela | 34 | -26 | 28 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | Estoril Praia | 33 | -9 | 36 |
14 | Vizela | 33 | -18 | 33 |
15 | Arouca | 33 | -22 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Vizela |
44.52% ( 0.43) | 26.05% ( -0.01) | 29.43% ( -0.42) |
Both teams to score 51.97% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.86% ( -0.15) | 52.14% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.14% ( -0.13) | 73.86% ( 0.13) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.67% ( 0.14) | 23.33% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.72% ( 0.21) | 57.28% ( -0.2) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.78% ( -0.39) | 32.22% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.29% ( -0.44) | 68.71% ( 0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Vizela |
1-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 44.51% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.68% Total : 29.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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