Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 34 | 64 | 91 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 47 | 82 |
3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | Estoril Praia | 33 | -9 | 36 |
14 | Vizela | 33 | -18 | 33 |
15 | Arouca | 33 | -22 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 78.52%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 7.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.42%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-2 (2.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Vizela |
78.52% | 13.66% | 7.82% |
Both teams to score 49.1% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.95% | 33.05% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.21% | 54.79% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.29% | 6.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.16% | 24.84% |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.63% | 47.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.23% | 82.77% |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Vizela |
2-0 @ 11.6% 3-0 @ 10.45% 2-1 @ 8.67% 1-0 @ 8.59% 3-1 @ 7.81% 4-0 @ 7.06% 4-1 @ 5.28% 5-0 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 2.92% 5-1 @ 2.85% 4-2 @ 1.97% 6-0 @ 1.72% 6-1 @ 1.28% 5-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.44% Total : 78.52% | 1-1 @ 6.42% 2-2 @ 3.24% 0-0 @ 3.18% Other @ 0.83% Total : 13.66% | 1-2 @ 2.4% 0-1 @ 2.38% Other @ 3.04% Total : 7.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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