Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 48.01%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 25.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.