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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Tondela
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 9, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio João Cardoso
Sporting Lisbon

Tondela
1 - 3
Sporting Lisbon

Hernando (71')
Boselli (13'), Augusto (52'), Pedro (68')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Inacio (29'), Sarabia (33', 69' pen.)
Reis (50'), Adan (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Tondela and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Next Game: Porto vs. Tondela
Sunday, July 31 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup

We said: Tondela 0-2 Sporting Lisbon

Saturday's game sees two sides at opposite ends of the table go head to head with Sporting Lisbon being the clearly superior side. While Tondela will look to build on their win over Maritimo, they face the Leoes, who have won each of their last four encounters. Looking at the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, and their contrasting form, we are backing Sporting Lisbon to come away with all three points unscathed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 61.11%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 18.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.74%) and 0-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Tondela win it was 2-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
TondelaDrawSporting Lisbon
18.11%20.77%61.11%
Both teams to score 55.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.25%40.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.87%63.13%
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.98%36.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.2%72.79%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.12%12.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.74%39.26%
Score Analysis
    Tondela 18.11%
    Sporting Lisbon 61.11%
    Draw 20.77%
TondelaDrawSporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 4.96%
1-0 @ 4.73%
2-0 @ 2.42%
3-2 @ 1.73%
3-1 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 18.11%
1-1 @ 9.71%
2-2 @ 5.08%
0-0 @ 4.64%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.77%
1-2 @ 9.95%
0-2 @ 9.74%
0-1 @ 9.5%
1-3 @ 6.8%
0-3 @ 6.66%
1-4 @ 3.49%
2-3 @ 3.47%
0-4 @ 3.41%
2-4 @ 1.78%
1-5 @ 1.43%
0-5 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 61.11%

How you voted: Tondela vs Sporting Lisbon

Tondela
7.7%
Draw
0.0%
Sporting Lisbon
92.3%
26
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2021 6pm
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
Tondela
Sarabia (10'), Paulinho (50')
Sarabia (30'), Ugarte (78'), Tomas (85')

Barbosa (30'), Augusto (74'), Sagnan (80')
Mar 13, 2021 8.30pm
Nov 1, 2020 8pm
Sporting Lisbon
4-0
Tondela
Goncalves (45', 49'), Porro (79'), Sporar (90+3')
Palhinha (32'), Nunes (85'), Santos (86')

Ferreira (28'), Augusto (85')
Jun 18, 2020 9.15pm
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
Tondela
Cabral (13'), Sporar (31' pen.)

Tavares (10'), Almeida (87'), Alves (89')
Nov 3, 2019 5.30pm
Tondela
1-0
Sporting Lisbon
Wilson (88')
Xavier (5'), Ferreira (45'), Ramos (49'), Pedro (73')

Doumbia (11'), Henrique (71'), Vietto (95')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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