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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Sporting Lisbon

Porto
3 - 0
Sporting Lisbon

Evanilson (42'), Uribe (78' pen.), Galeno (86' pen.)
Sanusi (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ugarte (16'), Neto (40'), Morita (42'), Reis (76')
Porro (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

Last Six:
Last Game: Vizela 0-1 Porto
Sunday, August 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Sporting Lisbon

Last Six:
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, August 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Porto 2-1 Sporting Lisbon

 Saturday's game sees two of the biggest sides in Portuguese football go head to head and this makes for an exciting watch. The reigning champions head into the game in superb form, winning each of their last 10 games across all competitions. While we expect the Leoes to put up a fight, we fancy Porto coming out on top while riding on the wave of support from the home fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 50.15%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawSporting Lisbon
50.15% (-1.213 -1.21) 23.08% (0.3 0.3) 26.77% (0.913 0.91)
Both teams to score 59.86% (-0.174 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.11% (-0.618 -0.62)40.89% (0.619 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.72% (-0.634 -0.63)63.27% (0.635 0.63)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.53% (-0.658 -0.66)16.47% (0.658 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.83% (-1.198 -1.2)46.17% (1.198 1.2)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66% (0.351 0.35)28.34% (-0.352 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.92% (0.443 0.44)64.08% (-0.443 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Porto 50.15%
    Sporting Lisbon 26.77%
    Draw 23.08%
PortoDrawSporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-0 @ 8.42% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.59% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-1 @ 5.76% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-0 @ 4.57% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-2 @ 3.63% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.6% (-0.136 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.06% (-0.129 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 50.15%
1-1 @ 10.61% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.67% (0.131 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.08%
1-2 @ 6.69% (0.17 0.17)
0-1 @ 5.88% (0.22 0.22)
0-2 @ 3.71% (0.174 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.098 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.088 0.09)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 26.77%

How you voted: Porto vs Sporting Lisbon

Porto
84.6%
Draw
9.2%
Sporting Lisbon
6.2%
65
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2022 8.15pm
Porto
1-0
Sporting Lisbon
Martinez (83')
Evanilson (31')

Porro (89')
Mar 2, 2022 8.45pm
Sporting Lisbon
1-2
Porto
Sarabia (49')
Paulinho (33'), Adan (56'), Coates (57'), Slimani (90+1'), Reis (90+4'), Porro (90+8'), Amorim (90+8')
Taremi (59' pen.), Evanilson (64')
Marchesin (78'), Vitinha (80'), Pepe (90+3')
Feb 11, 2022 8.15pm
Porto
2-2
Sporting Lisbon
Vieira (38'), Taremi (78')
Pepe (42'), Otavio (45'), Vieira (82'), Pepe (90+1')
Marchesin (90+10'), Pepe (90+10')
Paulinho (8'), Santos (34')
Reis (1'), Coates (27'), Esgaio (45'), Paulinho (54'), Santos (63'), Palhinha (71')
Coates (49'), Tabata (90+10'), Palhinha (90+10')
Sep 11, 2021 8.30pm
Sporting Lisbon
1-1
Porto
Santos (16')
Vinagre (3'), Paulinho (14'), Neto (39'), Porro (43'), Cabral (51'), Adan (90+2')
Diaz (71')
Costa (2'), Marcano (4'), Pepe (43'), Manafa (56'), Martinez (85')
Martinez (87')
Feb 27, 2021 8.30pm
Porto
0-0
Sporting Lisbon

Pepe (55')

Mendes (27'), Feddal (55')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Porto1613124093140
3Benfica17122338112738
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1710161816231
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao174852020020
10Rio AveRio Ave175571828-1020
11Gil Vicente174761926-719
12Estoril PraiaEstoril174671828-1018
13Estrela Amadora174491629-1316
14AVS172961324-1115
15AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
16SC FarenseFarense173591123-1214
17Nacional163491123-1213
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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