Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Portimonense | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Maritimo | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Pacos de Ferreira | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 79.56%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 6.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.28%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.4%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Maritimo |
79.56% ( 0.07) | 13.47% ( -0.03) | 6.96% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 45.04% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.29% ( -0) | 35.71% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.22% ( 0) | 57.77% ( -0.01) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.92% ( 0.01) | 7.07% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.19% ( 0.04) | 25.81% ( -0.04) |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.47% ( -0.11) | 51.52% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.3% ( -0.07) | 85.69% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Maritimo |
2-0 @ 12.78% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.49% ( -0) 4-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.96% 5-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.63% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 3.82% Total : 79.55% | 1-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.65% 2-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.61% Total : 13.47% | 0-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 6.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 47 |
2 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
4 | Braga | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 32 |
6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 24 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 23 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 23 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 22 |
12 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
13 | Nacional | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 19 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 19 |
15 | AVS | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 17 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 12 |
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