Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 25.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (9.02%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-0 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.