Rio Ave1 - 0Chaves
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, February 18 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
for
Monday, February 20 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Rio Ave 2-1 Chaves
With just two points separating Rio Ave and Chaves in the league standings, we expect a thrilling contest on Sunday. The Vilacondenses have been solid on home turf this season and we fancy them claiming all three points this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rio Ave in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rio Ave.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Chaves |
40.63% ( -0.17) | 28.64% ( 0.07) | 30.73% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 45.05% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.78% ( -0.22) | 61.22% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.84% ( -0.16) | 81.15% ( 0.16) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.44% ( -0.2) | 29.56% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.42% ( -0.25) | 65.58% ( 0.25) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.96% ( -0.04) | 36.04% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.18% ( -0.04) | 72.82% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Chaves |
| 1-0 @ 12.98% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.5% Total : 40.62% | 1-1 @ 13.25% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.64% | 0-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.97% Total : 30.73% |
