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Arouca
Benfica
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Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
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Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 26, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Chaves

Rio Ave
1 - 0
Chaves

Ronaldo (53')
Pereira (28'), Sa (43'), Pantalon (59'), Graca (79'), Ukra (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sylla (34'), Teixeira (34'), Ponck (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 1-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, February 18 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Chaves 2-3 Sporting Lisbon
Monday, February 20 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Rio Ave 2-1 Chaves

With just two points separating Rio Ave and Chaves in the league standings, we expect a thrilling contest on Sunday. The Vilacondenses have been solid on home turf this season and we fancy them claiming all three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rio Ave in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rio Ave.

Result
Rio AveDrawChaves
40.63% (-0.173 -0.17) 28.64% (0.071999999999999 0.07) 30.73% (0.101 0.1)
Both teams to score 45.05% (-0.16 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.78% (-0.218 -0.22)61.22% (0.216 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.84% (-0.163 -0.16)81.15% (0.16199999999999 0.16)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.44% (-0.20400000000001 -0.2)29.56% (0.204 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.42% (-0.25 -0.25)65.58% (0.25 0.25)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.96% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)36.04% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.18% (-0.044 -0.04)72.82% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 40.62%
    Chaves 30.73%
    Draw 28.64%
Rio AveDrawChaves
1-0 @ 12.98% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.08% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.91% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.28% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.22% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 40.62%
1-1 @ 13.25% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.65% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.64%
0-1 @ 10.87% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 6.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.55% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 30.73%

How you voted: Rio Ave vs Chaves

Rio Ave
72.7%
Draw
21.2%
Chaves
6.1%
33
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2022 9.15pm
Chaves
1-1
Rio Ave
Hernandez (32')
Acevedo (90')
Joca (6')
Mar 8, 2019 8.30pm
Chaves
1-1
Rio Ave
Niltinho (82')
William (8'), Djavan (17'), Costinha (24'), Jefferson (35')
Semedo (27')
Augusto (8'), Galeno (33'), Tarantini (36'), Coentrao (40'), Leonardo (71'), Nadjack (72')
Augusto (22')
Oct 27, 2018 6pm
Rio Ave
1-0
Chaves
Galeno (66')
Lopes (77'), Galeno (93'), Coentrao (97')

Eustaquio (49'), Paulinho (58'), Perdigao (94')
Apr 29, 2018 4pm
Rio Ave
2-1
Chaves
Pele (66' pen., 80' pen.)
Geraldes (45'), Tarantini (51'), Marcelo (74'), Lopes (82'), Ribeiro (84'), Teixeira (96'), Cassio (96')
Pereira (94')
Duarte (26'), Eustaquio (60'), Paulinho (80'), Pereira (82'), William (99')
Perdigao (65'), Platiny (100')
Dec 17, 2017 4pm
Chaves
1-1
Rio Ave
Bressan (71')
Duarte (11'), Bardini Bressan (24'), Pereira (49')
Novais (6')
Nadjack (41'), Cassio (83'), Tarantini (84'), Ribeiro (85')
Marcelo (75')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Porto1613124093140
3Benfica17122338112738
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1710161816231
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao174852020020
10Rio AveRio Ave175571828-1020
11Gil Vicente174761926-719
12Estoril PraiaEstoril174671828-1018
13Estrela Amadora174491629-1316
14AVS172961324-1115
15AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
16SC FarenseFarense173591123-1214
17Nacional163491123-1213
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512


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