Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Apr 11, 2021 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio de Sao Miguel
Santa Clara5 - 1Nacional
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 45.45%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 25.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Nacional |
| 45.45% | 29.5% | 25.06% |
| Both teams to score 39.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.94% | 66.07% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.37% | 84.63% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.72% | 29.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.75% | 65.25% |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.44% | 43.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.24% | 79.76% |
| Score Analysis |
Santa Clara 45.44%
Nacional 25.05%
Draw 29.48%
| Santa Clara | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 15.66% 2-0 @ 9.62% 2-1 @ 7.99% 3-0 @ 3.94% 3-1 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.21% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.38% Total : 45.44% | 1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 12.75% 2-2 @ 3.32% Other @ 0.4% Total : 29.48% | 0-1 @ 10.6% 1-2 @ 5.41% 0-2 @ 4.41% 1-3 @ 1.5% 0-3 @ 1.22% 2-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1% Total : 25.05% |
How you voted: Santa Clara vs Nacional
Santa Clara
50.0%Draw
50.0%Nacional
0.0%8
Head to Head
Form Guide
