Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 64.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 15.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.4%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
SC Farense | Draw | Porto |
15.07% | 20.54% | 64.39% |
Both teams to score 49.85% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.75% | 45.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.41% | 67.59% |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.51% | 42.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.14% | 78.86% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.68% | 13.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.83% | 40.17% |
Score Analysis |
SC Farense | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 4.84% 2-1 @ 4.18% 2-0 @ 2.07% 3-2 @ 1.2% 3-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.58% Total : 15.07% | 1-1 @ 9.77% 0-0 @ 5.66% 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 0.9% Total : 20.54% | 0-2 @ 11.5% 0-1 @ 11.4% 1-2 @ 9.84% 0-3 @ 7.73% 1-3 @ 6.62% 0-4 @ 3.9% 1-4 @ 3.33% 2-3 @ 2.83% 0-5 @ 1.57% 2-4 @ 1.43% 1-5 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.89% Total : 64.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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