Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 59.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Vitoria de Setubal had a probability of 17.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Vitoria de Setubal win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Vitoria de Setubal |
59.1% | 23.2% | 17.71% |
Both teams to score 47.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.32% | 51.68% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.54% | 73.46% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.82% | 17.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.56% | 47.44% |
Vitoria de Setubal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.05% | 42.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.75% | 79.25% |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Vitoria de Setubal |
1-0 @ 12.99% 2-0 @ 11.44% 2-1 @ 9.67% 3-0 @ 6.72% 3-1 @ 5.68% 4-0 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.4% 4-2 @ 1.06% 5-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.62% Total : 59.08% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 0-0 @ 7.38% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.74% Total : 23.19% | 0-1 @ 6.24% 1-2 @ 4.64% 0-2 @ 2.64% 1-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.74% Total : 17.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |