Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 50.46%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Vitoria de Setubal had a probability of 22.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.45%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Vitoria de Setubal win it was 1-0 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.