Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vizela in this match.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Portimonense |
43.82% ( -0.41) | 27.82% ( 0.09) | 28.36% ( 0.32) |
Both teams to score 46.21% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.75% ( -0.19) | 59.25% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.34% ( -0.15) | 79.66% ( 0.14) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.13% ( -0.3) | 26.86% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.82% ( -0.4) | 62.17% ( 0.4) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.18% ( 0.16) | 36.82% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.39% ( 0.15) | 73.61% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 13% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.93% Total : 43.82% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.82% | 0-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 1.82% Total : 28.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
14 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Nacional | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 13 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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