Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 48.95%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.