Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Central Park
Cowdenbeath0 - 1Morton
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Cowdenbeath and Greenock Morton.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Albion Rovers 3-4 Cowdenbeath
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Morton 2-3 Falkirk
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 63.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 16.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 0-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Cowdenbeath win it was 2-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
Result | ||
Cowdenbeath | Draw | Greenock Morton |
16.74% ( -0.05) | 19.71% ( -0.06) | 63.54% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 56.63% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.77% ( 0.19) | 38.23% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.49% ( 0.2) | 60.5% ( -0.21) |
Cowdenbeath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.94% ( 0.06) | 36.06% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.16% ( 0.06) | 72.84% ( -0.07) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.56% ( 0.08) | 11.43% ( -0.09) |