Morton

2 - 1

Alloa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 17.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.