Scottish Challenge Cup | First Round
Aug 1, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Borough Briggs
Elgin2 - 0St Johnstone U21s
MacLeman (20'), Barron (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup First Round clash between Elgin City and St Johnstone Under-21s.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Queen's Park 5-0 Elgin
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: East Fife 4-0 St Johnstone U21s
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 0 | nan | |
| 2 | Clyde | 0 | nan | |
| 3 | Dumbarton | 0 | nan | |
| 4 | East Fife | 0 | nan | |
| 5 | Elgin | 0 | nan | |
| 6 | Forfar | 0 | nan | |
| 7 | Peterhead | 0 | nan | |
| 8 | Spartans | 0 | nan | |
| 9 | Stenhousemuir | 0 | nan | |
| 10 | Stranraer | 0 | nan |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 50.03%. A win for St Johnstone Under-21s had a probability of 25.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest St Johnstone Under-21s win was 0-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | St Johnstone Under-21s |
50.03% ( 0.06) | 24.44% ( -0.17) | 25.52% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.09% ( 0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
