Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 76.95%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for St Johnstone Under-21s had a probability of 8.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.47%), while for a St Johnstone Under-21s win it was 1-2 (2.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Fife would win this match.