MX23RW : Monday, February 3 05:59:33| >> :60:1836:1836:
Peterhead
Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Balmoor Stadium
Elgin City

Peterhead
0 - 4
Elgin

FT(HT: 0-2)
Dingwall (9'), Hester (35'), Lawrence (68'), Mailer (85')
McHardy (63')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Peterhead and Elgin City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Peterhead 2-1 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 3-3 Elgin
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.

Result
PeterheadDrawElgin City
31.21% (3.97 3.97) 24.49% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03) 44.3% (-3.932 -3.93)
Both teams to score 58.05% (2.702 2.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.37% (2.388 2.39)44.63% (-2.383 -2.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33% (2.266 2.27)67% (-2.261 -2.26)
Peterhead Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.81% (3.999 4)27.2% (-3.994 -3.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.39% (4.923 4.92)62.61% (-4.917 -4.92)
Elgin City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.74% (-0.703 -0.7)20.26% (0.709 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.39% (-1.139 -1.14)52.61% (1.145 1.15)
Score Analysis
    Peterhead 31.21%
    Elgin City 44.3%
    Draw 24.48%
PeterheadDrawElgin City
2-1 @ 7.46% (0.703 0.7)
1-0 @ 7.18% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 4.67% (0.533 0.53)
3-1 @ 3.24% (0.613 0.61)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.443 0.44)
3-0 @ 2.03% (0.42 0.42)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.29 0.29)
Other @ 3%
Total : 31.21%
1-1 @ 11.45% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.95% (0.441 0.44)
0-0 @ 5.51% (-0.588 -0.59)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.21 0.21)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.48%
1-2 @ 9.14% (-0.319 -0.32)
0-1 @ 8.8% (-1.156 -1.16)
0-2 @ 7.02% (-1.101 -1.1)
1-3 @ 4.87% (-0.282 -0.28)
0-3 @ 3.74% (-0.682 -0.68)
2-3 @ 3.17% (0.168 0.17)
1-4 @ 1.94% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-4 @ 1.49% (-0.312 -0.31)
2-4 @ 1.26% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 44.3%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2019 3pm
Elgin
1-2
Peterhead
Morrison (18')
Roberts (76'), McHardy (79')
Wilson (2' og.), Leitch (29')
Dunlop (75'), Gibson (83'), Home (94')
Dunlop (90')
Mar 2, 2019 3pm
Peterhead
1-0
Elgin
Boyle (8')
Gibson (55'), McAllister (90')

McHardy (51'), Omar (68')
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
Elgin
0-3
Peterhead

Bronsky (34')
McHardy (24')
Leitch (14', 77'), Dow (32')
Brown (83')
Oct 6, 2018 3pm
Peterhead
3-0
Elgin
Dow (42'), McAllister (52'), McLean (86')
Brown (49'), Boyle (61')

McGowan (64')
Apr 21, 2018 3pm
Elgin
0-1
Peterhead

Byrne (90')
Brown (74')
Ferry (22'), Brown (67'), McLean (87')
rhs 2.0
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