Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 1-0 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.