Russian Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 11, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Samara Arena
Krylia Sovetov2 - 0Fakel
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Krylia Sovetov and Fakel.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Spartak Moscow 3-0 Krylia Sovetov
Monday, August 5 at 6pm in Russian Premier League
Monday, August 5 at 6pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Fakel 0-0 Krasnodar
Sunday, August 4 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League
Sunday, August 4 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 53.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 20.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Krylia Sovetov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Fakel |
53.5% ( -0.26) | 25.57% ( 0.05) | 20.92% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 45.57% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.41% ( 0.04) | 56.59% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.43% ( 0.04) | 77.56% ( -0.04) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.8% ( -0.09) | 21.2% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.91% ( -0.14) | 54.08% ( 0.13) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.83% ( 0.25) | 42.17% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.42% ( 0.22) | 78.58% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
Krylia Sovetov 53.49%
Fakel 20.92%
Draw 25.57%
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Fakel |
| 1-0 @ 13.86% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 53.49% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.65% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.1% Total : 20.92% |
Head to Head
Apr 25, 2024 4.15pm
Sep 2, 2023 3.30pm
May 28, 2023 2.30pm
Aug 19, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 6
Krylia Sovetov
1-1
Fakel
Glushenkov (61')
Maksimov (65')
Mendel (58'), Bozhin (82'), Kvekveskiri (87')
Mendel (58'), Bozhin (82'), Kvekveskiri (87')
Form Guide
