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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 31
May 10, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
0 - 5
Al Ettifaq

FT(HT: 0-4)
Fofana (5'), Dembele (31' pen.), Toko Ekambi (35', 39', 55')
Abdulrahman (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ittihad and Al Ettifaq, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Abha 3-1 Al Ittihad
Friday, May 3 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ettifaq 1-2 Al Fayha
Friday, May 3 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Ittihad 1-1 Al Ettifaq

Both these sides enter this match in poor form, and while the hosts are the marginal favourites, their extensive injury list does not inspire much confidence in their chances. On the flip side, Al Ettifaq have struggled in attack this season, as evidenced last week when they had 17 shots at goal but only found the net once. While both teams need a victory here, we feel they will end up having to settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ettifaq win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ettifaq win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Ettifaq would win this match.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAl Ettifaq
35.23% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 24.98% (-0.158 -0.16) 39.79% (0.061 0.06)
Both teams to score 57.64% (0.56 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.26% (0.721 0.72)45.74% (-0.72300000000001 -0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.94% (0.682 0.68)68.05% (-0.685 -0.69)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.71% (0.39099999999999 0.39)25.29% (-0.393 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.95% (0.537 0.54)60.05% (-0.54 -0.54)
Al Ettifaq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15% (0.34699999999999 0.35)22.85% (-0.35 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.42% (0.511 0.51)56.58% (-0.514 -0.51)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 35.23%
    Al Ettifaq 39.79%
    Draw 24.98%
Al IttihadDrawAl Ettifaq
2-1 @ 8.06% (0.019 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.94% (-0.155 -0.16)
2-0 @ 5.46% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.7% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.064 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.5% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 35.23%
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.95% (0.074 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.78% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.98%
1-2 @ 8.66% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.53% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-2 @ 6.3% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.26% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.93% (0.066 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.57% (0.034 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.14% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 39.79%

How you voted: Al Ittihad vs Al Ettifaq

Al Ittihad
61.1%
Draw
27.8%
Al Ettifaq
11.1%
18
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2023 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal109102781928
2Al Ittihad109012481627
3Al-Nassr106402181322
4Al ShababAl Shabab10703146821
5Al Quadisiya10613137619
6Al Khaleej105141212016
7Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun10433119215
8Al-AhliAl-Ahli10424149514
9Al Riyadh104241315-214
10Damac103251618-211
11Al RaedAl Raed103251315-211
12Al Ettifaq10325915-611
13Al Orubah10316921-1210
14Al Okhdood102261114-38
15Al Kholood101451219-77
16Al Fayha10145719-127
17Al WahdaAl Wahda101361427-136
18Al Fateh10127818-105


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