Al-Nassr

2 - 0

Al-Ahli

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 55.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 21.06%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for an Al-Ahli win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.